What's the connection between central banks raising interest rates and rising food costs?
In The News:
- The Federal Reserve, America's central bank, announced recently that it would raise interest rates by 75 basis points (or 0.75 percentage points).
- This is done by the Federal Reserve to lower inflation to 2%.
What's today's article?
- What do Inflation and Interest Rates mean? Significance? How does it work?
- Relationship between the two
Inflation
- Inflation refers to the general increase in the prices of goods and services and the decrease in purchasing power of people.
- This means that inflation will rise without an equivalent increase in your income.
- You can buy less than you used to, or
- You will pay more for the same product now.
- An increasing inflation rate means that prices are rising at a faster rate.
- To put it another way, consider a scenario in which the inflation rate was 1%, 2%, and then 4% in April, and then 7% in June.
Interest Rates
- The interest rate is a percentage of principal (the amount that you borrow) that the lender charges the borrower for money lent.
- It's not just a fraction of the deposits that a depositor receives from an institution (bank, or other).
- These rates are crucial for the economy, whether it is interest on savings banks or interest on loans.
- The role of interest rates is crucial in the economic development and stability of a country. They have a significant impact on stock prices, as well as other investment decisions.
Relationship Between Inflation And Interest Rates
- According to the Quantity Theory of Money, inflation is determined by money supply and demand. This economic theory defines the relationship between money supply (money) and the price of a product.
- Inflation and money supply are directly related.
- It means increasing money supply in an economy causes inflation to rise, and decreasing money supply leads to a decrease.
- Inflation rates fluctuate and the central bank (RBI, in India) intervenes to adjust the interest rates in order to control it.
The role of the RBI in controlling inflation
- Falling Inflation
- The interest rates are reduced by the RBI when inflation is falling.
- People are therefore motivated to save more and get lower interest on their deposits.
- Additionally, people are more likely to borrow more if they pay less interest.
- It triggers consumer spending and, thus, the demand.
- Rising Inflation
- The RBI will continue to increase interest rates as inflation rises due to high demand.
- People will save more when interest rates rise because they will get higher interest on deposits. Businesses will reduce their borrowings, as funding costs will rise.
- This will ultimately lead to a decrease in money supply.
- The Quantity theory of money will again show that inflation will decline and that the problem of higher inflation can be solved.
Conclusion:
- Inflation is driven by interest rates in the opposite direction. Inflation is reduced by higher interest rates, while inflation rises with lower rates.
- Inflation should be controlled at the right level to benefit the economy.
- The Monetary Policy of the RBI regulates interest rates. It uses various measures, including reducing/increasing rates and open market operations.
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